President Joe Biden rode to victory in 2020 by making massive inroads with suburban voters and independents whereas retaining the coalition 2016 Democratic presidential nominee Hillary Clinton shaped in 2016, a sweeping new examine from Pew Analysis Heart discovered, confirming what many political analysts already concluded.
Biden received 54% of suburban voters, a 9 level enhance from Clinton’s efficiency in 2016 (45%), the examine—primarily based on a survey of 11,818 folks carried out November 12-17—discovered.
Whereas Trump received white suburban voters by 16 factors in 2016, he edged out Biden by simply 4 factors with the identical group in 2020 (51%-47%).
Impartial voters swung to Biden by a 9 level margin (52%-43%) in 2020, a serious shift from 2016 when Trump received the bloc by 1 level over Clinton (43%-42%).
Trump made positive factors with girls and Hispanic voters at the same time as he misplaced each teams to Biden, profitable 44% of girls in 2020, in comparison with 39% in 2016, and 38% of Hispanic voters, a ten level enhance from 4 years prior (28%).
Biden made inroads with non-college educated white voters, profitable 33% of the group, a 5 level enhance from Clinton’s share in 2016 (28%).
Trump received males by simply 2 factors (50%-48%), whereas Biden beat Trump by 11 factors amongst girls (55%-44%).
Child Boomers and the Silent Era accounted for lower than half of the voters (44%) in 2020 for the primary time in many years, in keeping with Pew. In each 2016 and 2018, the 2 generations made up 52% of the voters.
Each Trump and Biden held onto the coalitions that their events capitalized on in 2016 and 2018. Like Clinton, Biden earned widespread assist with Black, Asian and Hispanic voters, whereas Trump saved his massive benefit with white males. Each candidates additionally shored up assist with their very own occasion’s voters, as much less Individuals pulled the lever for third occasion candidates. Biden earned 94% of Democratic voters, whereas Trump pulled in 92% of Republicans. In 2016, 6% of Individuals forged their vote for a 3rd occasion candidate, whereas simply 2% did the identical in 2020.
46%. That’s the proportion of voters who mentioned they voted by mail, because the pandemic led Individuals to keep away from in-person polling facilities. Round 4 in 10 mentioned it was their first time voting that method.
Behind Biden’s 2020 Victory (Pew Analysis Heart)